If mortgages maintain the momentum of the last three months, i.e. January to March, then in 2026 the volume of new mortgages without refinancing would reach CZK 398 billion, +24% compared to last year. However, this year's figures are likely to be strongly influenced by the effect of frontloading with lower interest rates and before the April activation of stricter rules for so-called investment mortgages. The estimate thus assumes a 7% correction to the number of new mortgages and a more modest average mortgage size. Hypomonitor's history since 2020 shows their lowest annual volume at 124 billion in 2023 and their highest volume at 379 billion in 2021.
Source of primary data
CBA Hypomonitor
Note
A more detailed breakdown of the CBA Hypomonitor data is available in its monthly data supplement, see: https://www.cbamonitor.cz/publicistika/soubory/cba-hypomonitor-data
February ranked among the five strongest mortgage months ever in terms of volume in billions of crowns, but also with a continued strong number of new mortgage originations.
Comment by Jaromír Šindel, Chief Economist of the CBA: The Central Bank, through stricter requirements in the form of recommendations for investment mortgages, has decided to make a modest effort to correct mortgage demand on the real estate market, which remains very tight in terms of prices, mainly due to the supply side - see the drop in building permits.
Despite the slight correction, April continued to see strong volumes of new mortgages supported by another slight decline in the average mortgage rate to 4.65%.