Total Mortgage Volume for the Year

385 billion CZK
Momentum for This Year's Volume of New Mortgages
321 billion CZK
Volume of New Mortgages in 2025

Commentary by the Czech Bar Association

Given the trends in the mortgage market over the past three months—that is, from April through June—the volume of new mortgages (excluding refinancing) could reach CZK 385 billion in 2026, representing a 20% increase compared to last year. This current outlook roughly anticipates a 7% decline in the number of new mortgages compared to the second half of last year, which should increase the number of newly granted mortgages to 82,000—7.8% above last year’s 76,100 (the snapshot forecast itself points to 89,000 new mortgages this year). Hypomonitor’s historical data since 2020 shows the lowest annual volume at 124 billion crowns in 2023 and the highest volume at 379 billion in 2021.

Total Mortgage Volume for the Year

CBA Monitor
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Source of Primary Data

ČBA Hypomonitor

Category

ČBA Hypomonitor

Data Frequency

annual

Note

A more detailed breakdown of the data from the ČBA Hypomonitor is available in its monthly data supplement; see: https://www.cbamonitor.cz/publicistika/soubory/cba-hypomonitor-data

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Comments

CBA Hypomonitor: Higher Rates and Regulations Slowed Mortgage Growth, but the Market Remained Strong in June

The average interest rate on new mortgages rose to 4.79%, while the average mortgage amount fell back below 4.7 million crowns. Banks and building societies issued new mortgages (excluding refinancing) totaling 36.5 billion crowns. After months of exceptionally strong mortgage activity, June saw a clear return to the robust normal levels seen in the second half of last year. In the first half of the year, the volume of new mortgages reached 216 billion crowns, which is 66 billion more than last year. Higher market interest rates and expensive real estate remain the main obstacles.

CBA Hypomonitor: A slight increase in the mortgage rate to 4.67% sustained solid activity in May

In May 2026, banks and building societies actually issued new mortgages (excluding refinancing) totaling CZK 38.1 billion.

CBA Hypomonitor: April also rewrote mortgage highs with still low rate of 4.52%

Average mortgage rate rises to 4.52%

Stronger wave of mortgage refixing, while the interest-rate shock eases. Higher inflation remains a risk.

This year is bringing a strong wave of expiring mortgage rate fixations, while the shorter fixation periods agreed in recent years will further increase these volumes in the years ahead. Building on the central bank’s latest estimate that mortgage fixations worth an average of CZK 534 billion per year will expire between 2026 and 2028, we present alternative interest-rate shock scenarios depending on the path of mortgage rates. In 2027–2028, the negative interest-rate shock is expected to ease to 0.1–0.6 percentage points, down from 1.1–1.4 percentage points this year. However, we also outline a more adverse scenario involving a stronger interest-rate shock. This year, the negative interest-rate shock affecting expiring mortgage fixations from the low-rate period will amount to roughly 3.5% of the average household income of mortgage applicants, although across all households the average impact will be about half that level. In both cases, the expected real growth in wages and salaries should be sufficient to offset the shock.

CBA Hypomonitor: March continued with a temporary boom in mortgages, thanks to a lower rate of 4.43%.

The average amount of a new mortgage exceeded CZK 4.8 million

CBA Hypomonitor: February continued with a temporary boom in mortgages, at a rate of 4.46%.

February ranked among the five strongest mortgage months ever in terms of volume in billions of crowns, but also with a continued strong number of new mortgage originations.

CNB tightens conditions for investment mortgages: 9% impact or necessary redistribution of demand?

Comment by Jaromír Šindel, Chief Economist of the CBA: The Central Bank, through stricter requirements in the form of recommendations for investment mortgages, has decided to make a modest effort to correct mortgage demand on the real estate market, which remains very tight in terms of prices, mainly due to the supply side - see the drop in building permits.

CBA Hypomonitor: Lower June rate to 4.56% brought a recovery in new mortgages

In June 2025, banks and building societies granted new mortgages worth CZK 29.4 billion.

CBA Hypomonitor: April stabilized strong mortgage rates at 4.65%

Despite the slight correction, April continued to see strong volumes of new mortgages supported by another slight decline in the average mortgage rate to 4.65%.

CBA Hypomonitor: Spring mortgage boom with a slight drop in interest rates

March continued to see strong new mortgage volumes supported by another slight fall in the average rate to 4.68%

Interview with Jakub Seidler, Chief Economist of the Czech Banking Association