Average Interest Rate on New Mortgages

The September decision was unanimous, and the Bank Board did not consider it necessary, for the time being, to follow up on the June rate hike with a further tightening of monetary conditions. Furthermore, financial conditions are tightening due to rising longer-term market rates, which are also affecting lending. In November, the CNB will revisit the question of whether to keep the rate at 3.75% or raise it to 4%. The second option seems more likely to me, unless there is a significant cooling off in domestic data or a normalization of commodity prices. Meanwhile, the market expects an even more pronounced rate hike to 4.75% over a nine-month horizon. However, the Czech yield curve is also significantly influenced by foreign rates, partly due to domestic factors. The CNB’s leeway to not place greater weight on these developments will depend primarily on the future trajectory of core inflation and the koruna exchange rate, the importance of which was also emphasized by the governor.

Activity declined by 13 percent in terms of volume compared to July

The average mortgage rate rose to 4.9%. The July mortgage figures reveal four main trends. First, both the number and volume of new mortgages have stabilized at lower, but still strong, levels. Second, the rise in actual mortgage rates remains gradual compared to market rates. Third, rates on refinanced mortgages no longer deviated downward as significantly as they did in May and June. And fourth, the likely lower share of investment mortgages contributed to a further decline in the average amount of new mortgages.

The average interest rate on new mortgages rose to 4.79%, while the average mortgage amount fell back below 4.7 million crowns. Banks and building societies issued new mortgages (excluding refinancing) totaling 36.5 billion crowns. After months of exceptionally strong mortgage activity, June saw a clear return to the robust normal levels seen in the second half of last year. In the first half of the year, the volume of new mortgages reached 216 billion crowns, which is 66 billion more than last year. Higher market interest rates and expensive real estate remain the main obstacles.

In May 2026, banks and building societies actually issued new mortgages (excluding refinancing) totaling CZK 38.1 billion.

Average mortgage rate rises to 4.52%

This year is bringing a strong wave of expiring mortgage rate fixations, while the shorter fixation periods agreed in recent years will further increase these volumes in the years ahead. Building on the central bank’s latest estimate that mortgage fixations worth an average of CZK 534 billion per year will expire between 2026 and 2028, we present alternative interest-rate shock scenarios depending on the path of mortgage rates. In 2027–2028, the negative interest-rate shock is expected to ease to 0.1–0.6 percentage points, down from 1.1–1.4 percentage points this year. However, we also outline a more adverse scenario involving a stronger interest-rate shock. This year, the negative interest-rate shock affecting expiring mortgage fixations from the low-rate period will amount to roughly 3.5% of the average household income of mortgage applicants, although across all households the average impact will be about half that level. In both cases, the expected real growth in wages and salaries should be sufficient to offset the shock.

The average amount of a new mortgage exceeded CZK 4.8 million

Comment by Jaromír Šindel, Chief Economist of the CBA: Mortgage rates are significantly determined by the movement of market interest rates. However, structural factors in the banking market are also important. The CNB's investigation of credit conditions in our analysis helps to explain what factors influence the difference between mortgage and market interest rates deviating from its normal level. The CBA analysis shows that a combination of stronger demand and competition among banks plays a key role. It is the latter that can lead to more favourable rates for clients without undermining market stability. The difference between mortgage rates and market rates that we have been monitoring is therefore mainly dampened by stronger demand, but in an environment of growing competition, which is key. Banks' profitability also plays a role, acting as a corrective mechanism to maintain competitive interest rate spreads but also market stability.

February ranked among the five strongest mortgage months ever in terms of volume in billions of crowns, but also with a continued strong number of new mortgage originations.

Comment by Jaromír Šindel, Chief Economist of the CBA: The central bank did not surprise by unanimously leaving interest rates unchanged, i.e. with the two-week repo rate at 3.50%, for the fifth meeting in a row after a 25bp cut in May. Although the Board did not change its view of the risks and uncertainties surrounding the CNB's November forecast, it did assess the risks to inflation as balanced, given the risks in financial markets and the removal of the renewable energy levy, following November's upside assessment.

In June 2025, banks and building societies granted new mortgages worth CZK 29.4 billion.

Despite the slight correction, April continued to see strong volumes of new mortgages supported by another slight decline in the average mortgage rate to 4.65%.

March continued to see strong new mortgage volumes supported by another slight fall in the average rate to 4.68%