New loans in the economy

Last month's value

New loans in the economy

billion CZK
CBA Commentary
The CBA estimates that the volume of actual new loans signed or increased (excluding refinancing and refixing) to the corporate sector and households during October and November amounted to around 16.3% of quarterly GDP, i.e. less than the 17.5% of GDP estimated in Q3 2025. Thus, in the incomplete year 2025, Czech banks (on the supply side) and corporates and households (on the demand side) continued to revive the credit impulse to the economy. For now, it looks on its continued upward trajectory to 15.1% of GDP, 2.4 p.p. above the 12.6% of GDP impulse in 2024 and 5.2 p.p. above the recent low of 9.9% in 2023. By comparison, the pre-Covind average in 2014-2019 was 18% of GDP.
The 2.4pp y/y rebound in credit impulse in 2025 (so far with November data) reflects new housing loans (+1.3pp to 4.3% of GDP; vs. 1.7% of GDP in 2023 and 3.8% in the pre-Covide period), as well as a 1pp y/y rise in new corporate loans to 8.6% of GDP (vs. 6.4% of GDP in 2023 and 12.2% pre-Covide). Consumer credit so far this year has reached 1.8% of GDP, up 0.1 pp y/y (vs. 1.4% of GDP in 2023 and 1.5% pre-covid).
Source of primary data
CNB ARAD
Note
These are net new loans, i.e. genuinely new loans (excluding refinancing and other arrangements) including increases (including increases for refinancing and other arrangements).
The data in the chart are unadjusted for calendar and seasonal effects, but the commentary reflects the CBA's estimate of seasonally adjusted data.
Total non-financial corporations = CZK + EUR loans.
Total households = consumption, housing, other (incl. non-residential real estate).
Category
Loans and deposits
Data frequency
Monthly
Comments
Is the unchanged CNB interest rate at 3.50% a sign of the coming bonanza or the calm before the storm?
Comment by Jaromír Šindel, Chief Economist of the CBA: The central bank did not surprise by unanimously leaving interest rates unchanged, i.e. with the two-week repo rate at 3.50%, for the fifth meeting in a row after a 25bp cut in May. Although the Board did not change its view of the risks and uncertainties surrounding the CNB's November forecast, it did assess the risks to inflation as balanced, given the risks in financial markets and the removal of the renewable energy levy, following November's upside assessment.
Banking statistics for August 2025
Commentary by Miroslav Zámečník, Chief Advisor of the Czech Banking Association
CBA Hypomonitor: Lower June rate to 4.56% brought a recovery in new mortgages
In June 2025, banks and building societies granted new mortgages worth CZK 29.4 billion.
CBA Hypomonitor: April stabilized strong mortgage rates at 4.65%
Despite the slight correction, April continued to see strong volumes of new mortgages supported by another slight decline in the average mortgage rate to 4.65%.
Banking statistics for March 2025
Commentary by Miroslav Zámečník, Chief Advisor of the Czech Banking Association