Households
Consumer loans
The total volume of consumer credit (excluding overdrafts and credit card balances) reached CZK 360.5 billion in August, an increase of 1% month-on-month but a high 10.8% year-on-year. This corresponds well with the surprisingly high estimate of year-on-year GDP growth for the first three quarters (+2.7%, currently one of the best figures in Europe), which is a robust consumption by households that are also reducing their propensity to save. The good Czech cyclical data can be complemented by a fall in unemployment, which has once again reached (together with Malta) the lowest level in the EU, and dynamic wage developments - all factors that should lead to higher household optimism, a greater willingness to spend, and even to borrow for consumption. Although the external environment is not particularly favourable, consumer confidence indicators are clearly in the positive zone. Banking statistics, both on the credit uptake side and on the example of lower deposit formation by the population, confirm this. The figures are not only good, but again after several years they are behaving "textbook".
At 4.24 in September, the proportion of bank consumer loans showing difficulties in repayment ("non-performing") has fallen slightly compared to August, and is oscillating around the levels usual over the last three years, when we have always assessed the level of repayment of liabilities in this category as consistently good as well.
Thirtieth anniversary of mortgages in the Czech Republic marked by strong growth
According to the original data from the CBA Hypomonitor, banks and building societies granted a total of almost CZK 30 billion in new mortgages (CZK 29.6 billion) in September, exceeding the August level by 14% and matching the very strong volumes of new business in July this year. The development of benchmark market rates, which were rising, meant that mortgage rates had nothing to push down, and September's 4.52% represents their stagnation for several months. Year-on-year, mortgages did become cheaper by 0.44 percentage points, which, with the total mortgage amount rising by CZK 590,000 year-on-year to CZK 4.350m and an average maturity of 26.8 years (according to CNB data), means an increase in the average monthly repayment of around CZK 2,000 to CZK 23,380 per month. However, high repayments do not discourage clients, and the total "new" production this year could significantly exceed the three hundred billion mark, compared to 228 billion last year, according to an estimate by the CBA's chief economist Jaromír Šindel. And that's not counting refinanced mortgages, where the main wave of refixations and refinancing of mortgages from the record year of 2021 is yet to come.
The total balance of mortgages held by the public reached CZK 1 trillion 814 billion at the end of September, another new nominal record in a row. Only 0.56% of this volume experienced repayment difficulties lasting longer than three months, classifying mortgages as "non-performing". This proportion is also this year's low, but it has remained at this very low level across Europe for the last few years.